Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Millett Hall, Oxford, Ohio
Game Overview
Miami (OH) RedHawks host Mercyhurst Lakers in a non-conference matchup at Millett Hall. Miami enters the game undefeated (3-0) and leads the nation in three-point percentage (48.2%) and ranks sixth in field goal percentage (55.1%). Mercyhurst is 3-2, coming off a win over Morgan State. This is the first-ever meeting between the programs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) has been dominant offensively, averaging 97.3 points per game and shooting efficiently from the field and beyond the arc. Mercyhurst averages 70.8 points per game and has shown inconsistency, with a recent loss to Canisius and a win over Morgan State. Miami's defense has held opponents to 61 points or less in two of their three wins.
- This is the first meeting between Miami (OH) and Mercyhurst. No historical data is available.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Miami (OH) is playing at home, where they are 2-0 this season. The game is part of the Collegiate Hoops Roadshow, a multi-team event. Miami is favored heavily by oddsmakers, reflecting their strong start and home-court advantage.
- Miami (OH) is seeking to extend their winning streak and maintain their top national rankings in shooting efficiency. Mercyhurst is looking to prove themselves against a high-level opponent after a mixed start to their Division I transition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mercyhurst Lakers: 1500, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -5000 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Mercyhurst Lakers: 15.5 -110, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -15.5 -110 | Miami (OH) RedHawks -15.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 -118, Under: 143.5 -106 | Over 143.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 29% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) is expected to win decisively due to their superior offensive efficiency, home-court advantage, and lack of significant injuries. Mercyhurst may struggle to keep pace with Miami's scoring and shooting prowess.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 92, Mercyhurst 70