Match Analysis: Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Millett Hall, Oxford, Ohio
Game Overview
Miami (OH) RedHawks, currently undefeated at 4-0 and playing at home, face the winless Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (0-7) in a non-conference matchup. Miami has shown strong offensive production, averaging over 90 points per game, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 96.3 points per game. The RedHawks are heavy favorites, with the spread set at -22.5 points and the over/under at 160.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) has started the season 4-0, with wins over teams like SMU, Air Force, and Old Dominion. Their offense is potent, averaging 92.0 points per game, while their defense has held opponents to 63.3 points per game. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-7, with losses by an average margin of 25 points. They are allowing 96.3 points per game and have struggled to contain opponents, especially on the road.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams. This is a rare matchup, with no previous meetings in the last decade.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading into this game.
- Miami (OH) is playing at home in Millett Hall, a venue where they have a strong record. The RedHawks are motivated to maintain their undefeated start and build momentum for conference play. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is on a long road trip, having played several away games recently, which may impact their energy and focus.
- Miami (OH) is looking to extend their winning streak and prove themselves against a struggling opponent. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is seeking their first win of the season and will be motivated to avoid another blowout loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 1600, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -6000 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: 22.5 -114, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -22.5 -106 | Miami (OH) RedHawks -22.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -110, Under: 160.5 -110 | Over 160.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 160.5 43% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) is expected to win this game comfortably, given their strong start to the season, home-court advantage, and the significant gap in performance between the two teams. The RedHawks' offense should exploit Arkansas-Pine Bluff's weak defense, leading to a high-scoring game. The spread and over/under lines reflect the expected dominance of Miami (OH).
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 95 – 65 Arkansas-Pine Bluff