Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs San Francisco Dons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Game Overview
Memphis Tigers host San Francisco Dons in a non-conference matchup at FedExForum. Memphis enters as favorites, with both teams coming off strong offensive performances in their previous games. The Tigers are opening their 2025-26 season, while San Francisco is riding momentum from a dominant win over UC Santa Cruz. The game is expected to be competitive, with Memphis favored by about 3.5 points and the total set at 156.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis finished last season with a 29-6 record, leading the AAC with a 16-2 conference mark. They averaged 79.9 points per game (42nd nationally) and allowed 73.4 points per game (223rd). San Francisco started their season with a 98-53 win over UC Santa Cruz, showing strong offensive capability. Memphis has a slight edge in rebounding (37.5 RPG) and assists (14.4 APG), while San Francisco averages 75.9 PPG and 32.2 RPG.
- Memphis won the last matchup 68-64, overcoming a slow start with a strong second half. The Tigers have a recent edge in the series, but San Francisco has shown the ability to keep games close.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Memphis has a strong home record (13-2 last season) and is favored to win at home. The game is being played at FedExForum, giving Memphis a home-court advantage. San Francisco is playing their first true road game of the season.
- Memphis is highly motivated to start their season strong and build on last year's success. San Francisco is looking to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent and continue their momentum from their season opener.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Tigers: -192, San Francisco Dons: 158 | Memphis Tigers | Not available |
| Spread | Memphis Tigers: -3.5, San Francisco Dons: 3.5 | San Francisco Dons +3.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5, Under: 156.5 | Over 156.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Tigers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Memphis Tigers at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Memphis is expected to win this game, but San Francisco is capable of keeping it close. The Tigers' offensive firepower and home-court advantage should be enough to secure a victory, but the Dons' recent form suggests they could cover the spread. The total points are likely to be close to the line, with both teams capable of scoring efficiently.
Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 82, San Francisco Dons 75