Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Purdue Boilermakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Baha Mar Championship, Bahamas (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
The Memphis Tigers (1-2) face the undefeated Purdue Boilermakers (4-0) in the Baha Mar Championship. Purdue is the clear favorite given their superior record, dominant recent form, and large spread set by bookmakers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Purdue is in dominant form, boasting a 4-0 start to the season, including convincing wins like 97-79 over Memphis recently. Memphis has struggled early with a 1-2 record, showing inconsistency. Purdue scores efficiently (average ~82 points) and defends well, while Memphis has struggled offensively and defensively.
- Purdue has won the majority of recent head-to-head matchups. In their last meeting on November 16, 2025, Purdue defeated Memphis 97-79. Historically, Purdue leads the series with 5 wins to Memphis's 1 in the last six meetings recorded. Memphis last won at home in 2005 but recent momentum heavily favors Purdue.
- No specific injury reports available from current data, suggesting both teams likely at full strength.
- The game is at a neutral site in the Bahamas, reducing home court advantage for Memphis. Purdueβs defensive fundamentals and turnover pressure are critical external tactical factors. Memphisβs defensive rotations have shown vulnerabilities recently.
- Purdue aims to maintain an undefeated start and continue demonstrating dominance nationally. Memphis seeks to rebound from early setbacks and prove competitiveness against a top-ranked opponent. Purdueβs superior recent success likely boosts team confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Tigers: 1000, Purdue Boilermakers: -1800 | Purdue Boilermakers win | β β β β β 90% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Purdue Boilermakers -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 158.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Purdue Boilermakers are strongly favored to win by a large margin, covering the spread comfortably due to their superior form, tactical discipline, and recent head-to-head dominance over Memphis.
Predicted Score: Purdue Boilermakers 88 – Memphis Tigers 70