Match Analysis: Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Game Overview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Sacramento Kings at FedExForum in a matchup between two struggling Western Conference teams. The Grizzlies enter the game on a five-game losing streak, while the Kings have won only three of their first fifteen games. Both teams are looking to break out of their recent slumps and improve their standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Grizzlies are 4-11 overall and 3-5 at home, averaging 109.5 points per game but allowing 118.2 points per game. The Kings are 3-12 overall and 1-7 on the road, averaging 112.3 points per game but surrendering 121.4 points per game. Both teams have struggled defensively, with the Kings allowing the most points per game in the league.
- The Grizzlies and Kings have split their last two meetings this season, with each team winning at home. The Kings won the most recent matchup in March 2025, but the Grizzlies took the earlier meeting in January.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their primary lineups.
- The game is being played at FedExForum, where the Grizzlies have a slight home-court advantage. The Kings have struggled significantly on the road, winning only one of their seven away games this season.
- Both teams are desperate for a win to halt losing streaks and improve their playoff positioning. The Grizzlies are looking to avoid a sixth consecutive loss, while the Kings aim to secure only their second road victory of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -132, away: 112 | Memphis Grizzlies | Not available |
| Spread | home: -1.5, away: 1.5 | Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 233.5, under: 233.5 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Grizzlies are favored to win this matchup due to their home advantage and the Kings' poor road record. However, both teams' defensive struggles suggest a high-scoring game is likely.
Predicted Score: Memphis Grizzlies 118 – 115 Sacramento Kings