Match Analysis: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Game Overview
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Dallas Mavericks in a Western Conference clash. Memphis is favored by 4.5 points with a total points line around 230-232.5. Both teams have had mixed early season performances with the Grizzlies slightly better at home and the Mavericks struggling with injuries and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis is 3-6 overall with a 2-4 home record and struggling against the spread at 2-7 ATS, whereas Dallas is 2-6 overall and 3-5 against the spread. Both teams are on losing streaks, but Memphis has slightly better home form.
- Recent head-to-head matchups point to competitive games but Memphis has a slight edge playing at home. No recent blowout patterns are evident.
- Dallas is impacted by key injuries affecting their recent performance and contributing to a three-game losing streak. Memphis has fewer injury concerns but has lost four straight games recently.
- Game is played at FedExForum giving Memphis home-court advantage. Motivation is mixed due to both teams struggling, but Memphis may have slightly higher drive to end home losing streak.
- Both teams are motivated to stop losing streaks; Memphis has a slight edge due to playing at home and aiming to improve a poor home record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis -184, Dallas +154 | Memphis Grizzlies | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Memphis -4.5 -110, Dallas +4.5 -110 | Dallas Mavericks +4.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
| Over/under | Over 230.5 -112, Under 230.5 -108 | Under 230.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 230.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 230.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Memphis Grizzlies to win moneyline, Dallas Mavericks to cover the spread, and the total points to go under 230.5
Predicted Score: Memphis Grizzlies 112 – Dallas Mavericks 106