Match Analysis: McNeese Cowboys vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lake Charles, LA
Game Overview
McNeese Cowboys (2-1, 2-0 home) host Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (1-2, 0-1 away) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. McNeese is operating as a heavy favorite with dominant offensive efficiency, while Louisiana enters as a significant underdog coming off a loss to Tulane.
Key Factors to Consider
- McNeese is shooting an elite 58.2% from the floor (2nd in D-1) and averaging 108.7 PPG with 23.0 APG (9th in D-1). Louisiana struggles offensively at 36.2% FG in their last game and has lost two of three, including a 4-point loss to Tulane. Louisiana allows 64.3 PPG (76th in college) but McNeese's offensive prowess presents a significant matchup problem. McNeese's Larry Johnson is in elite form, averaging 24.3 PPG on 76.5% FG.
- No historical head-to-head data provided in available sources. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with limited prior meeting history.
- No significant injuries reported for either team in the available data.
- McNeese plays at home where they are 2-0, providing a home-court advantage. Louisiana is 0-1 in away games. The Cowboys have established offensive rhythm early in the season with three consecutive games scoring over 108 points.
- McNeese seeks to maintain undefeated home record and build momentum as a higher-seeded team in their conference. Louisiana needs a bounce-back win after consecutive losses to establish credibility away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | McNeese -750 / Louisiana +525 | McNeese Cowboys | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | McNeese -12.5 -105 | McNeese Cowboys -12.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 135.5 -105 / Under 135.5 -115 | Over 135.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | McNeese Cowboys -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 135.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 135.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
McNeese Cowboys -12.5 with strong confidence. The combination of elite offensive efficiency (58.2% FG), dominant home-court performance, and Louisiana's struggling defense creates a significant edge favoring the Cowboys.
Predicted Score: McNeese 109, Louisiana 93