Match Analysis: McNeese Cowboys vs GW Revolutionaries – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: John Gray Gymnasium, George Town, Grand Cayman
Game Overview
This matchup features the McNeese Cowboys (3-1) hosting the George Washington Revolutionaries (5-0) in the Cayman Islands Classic. Both teams are undefeated in the tournament so far, with GW Revolutionaries showing strong offensive and defensive consistency. The game is a neutral-site contest, but McNeese is listed as the home team. The venue is a smaller gym, which could affect pace and shooting percentages.
Key Factors to Consider
- George Washington is 5-0 with a strong defensive record, allowing only 47 points in their last game. McNeese is 3-1, but their only loss was a close game against a strong opponent. GW has a higher predictive power rating (11.4 vs McNeese's 5.1) and better recent form (last 10 games rating: 18.7 vs 13.4). GW also has a higher effective FG% (59.4% vs 56.3%) and lower turnover rate (15.5% vs 16.1%).
- No recent head-to-head data is available for these teams. This is a rare matchup, with no prior meetings in the last five seasons.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played in a neutral gymnasium in the Cayman Islands, which may slightly favor McNeese as the 'home' team. The smaller venue could slow the pace and reduce scoring. Both teams are playing in a tournament setting, so fatigue and travel could be minor factors.
- Both teams are motivated to win for tournament advancement and national ranking. GW is looking to maintain their undefeated record, while McNeese wants to prove they can compete with top-tier teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | GW Revolutionaries: -225, McNeese Cowboys: 184 | GW Revolutionaries | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | GW Revolutionaries: -4.5 -112, McNeese Cowboys: 4.5 -108 | GW Revolutionaries -4.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5 -110, Under: 152.5 -110 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | GW Revolutionaries -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
George Washington is favored due to their superior power ratings, recent form, and defensive efficiency. McNeese has shown offensive explosiveness but may struggle to keep up with GW's defense. The game is likely to be close, but GW's consistency and lower turnover rate give them the edge.
Predicted Score: GW Revolutionaries 78, McNeese Cowboys 72
