Match Analysis: Marshall Thundering Herd vs Elon Phoenix – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cam Henderson Center, Huntington, West Virginia
Game Overview
Marshall Thundering Herd (2-0) hosts Elon Phoenix (2-0) in a non-conference matchup at the Cam Henderson Center. Both teams enter the game undefeated, but Marshall has shown strong offensive execution and a high tempo, while Elon has played at a much slower pace. The game features a significant contrast in styles, with Marshall ranked 67th in adjusted tempo and Elon 303rd. Marshall is favored heavily on the moneyline and spread, with the over/under set at 152.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marshall is averaging 81.5 points per game and shooting 49.6% from the field, ranking 98th nationally. They are also 16th in assists per game (23.0) but commit 20.5 turnovers per game. Elon is averaging 72.0 points per game, shooting 40.0% from the field, and 70.0% from the free-throw line. Elon averages 44.5 rebounds and 17.5 assists per game, but commits 17.5 fouls and 5.0 turnovers per game. Marshall has played two road games, defeating UMass and Toledo, while Elon's wins came against UNC Greensboro.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Marshall has a strong home record and has won the last two meetings. The most recent matchup saw Marshall win 75-57 as a favorite. Both teams are 2-0 this season, but Marshall's wins have come against tougher competition.
- No injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Marshall is playing at home, which is a significant advantage. The Cam Henderson Center is known for its loud and supportive crowd. The game is scheduled for a late start (12:00 AM local time), which could impact player focus and energy levels.
- Marshall is looking to build on a strong start to the season and prove they can compete with higher-level teams. Elon is seeking a marquee win to boost their resume and confidence. Both teams are motivated to maintain their undefeated records.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elon Phoenix: 340, Marshall Thundering Herd: -440 | Marshall Thundering Herd | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Elon Phoenix: 8.5 -105, Marshall Thundering Herd: -8.5 -115 | Marshall Thundering Herd -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5 -105, Under: 152.5 -115 | Over 152.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marshall Thundering Herd 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marshall is expected to win this game, leveraging their home court advantage, superior offensive efficiency, and higher tempo. Elon will likely struggle to keep up with Marshall's pace and may be forced to play from behind, leading to a higher-scoring game. The over/under is set at 152.5, and both teams have consistently scored above 78 points in their games, making the over a strong possibility.
Predicted Score: Marshall Thundering Herd 82, Elon Phoenix 74