Match Analysis: Marquette Golden Eagles vs Indiana Hoosiers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers (1-0) face off against the Marquette Golden Eagles (2-0) in the Waterkeeper Alliance Invitational at the United Center. Both teams enter the game undefeated, with Indiana coming off a dominant 98-51 win over Alabama A&M and Marquette defeating Albany (80-53) and Southern (100-82). The matchup is expected to be competitive, with Indiana favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 153.5. The game airs on ESPN.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana has shown strong offensive and defensive form, scoring 98 points on 62.1% shooting and allowing just 51 points in their opener. Marquette has averaged 90 points per game and allowed 67.5, but their opponents were weaker. Indianaβs balanced scoring and rebounding, led by Reed Bailey (21 points), Lamar Wilkerson (19), and Tucker Devries (18 points, 11 rebounds), gives them an edge. Marquetteβs recent wins were by 27 and 18 points, but against less challenging competition.
- Indiana leads the all-time series 8-2 and won the last meeting 96-73 in 2018. The Hoosiers have a clear advantage in recent history, especially in terms of margin of victory.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is at a neutral site (United Center), which may slightly favor Marquette due to proximity to Milwaukee. However, both teams have strong fan bases, and the venue is large enough to minimize home-court advantage. The Waterkeeper Alliance Invitational context adds extra motivation for both programs.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Indiana seeks to prove itself as a national contender, while Marquette aims to challenge a ranked opponent and boost its resume. The neutral site and invitational format increase the stakes for both squads.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -154, Marquette Golden Eagles: 128 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -2.5 -106, Marquette Golden Eagles: 2.5 -114 | Indiana Hoosiers -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -110 | Under 153.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana is favored due to their superior head-to-head record, recent form, and balanced roster. Marquetteβs offense has been efficient but against weaker competition. Indianaβs defense and depth should allow them to control the pace and limit Marquetteβs scoring. The game is expected to be close, but Indianaβs experience and recent dominance suggest they will cover the spread and keep the total under.
Predicted Score: Indiana 78, Marquette 72