Match Analysis: Marquette Golden Eagles vs Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Game Overview
Marquette Golden Eagles host Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans in a non-conference matchup. Marquette enters with a 2-1 record, showing strong offensive production and rebounding, while Little Rock is 1-1, struggling defensively and offensively against higher-level competition. Marquette is a heavy favorite, with the spread set at -20.5 and the total at 157.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marquette averages 85.7 points per game, shoots 43.3% from the field, and grabs 41 rebounds per game. They are strong at the free-throw line (78.3%) and have a solid assist-to-turnover ratio. Little Rock averages 82 points per game but allows opponents to shoot over 50% from the field and gives up 77.5 points per game. Their defense is a major weakness, and they struggle with turnovers and rebounding.
- No recent head-to-head data available for this matchup.
- No reported injuries for either team as of the latest updates.
- Marquette has the home-court advantage at Fiserv Forum, a venue known for its strong atmosphere. The game is scheduled for a late tip-off, which may affect player focus and energy levels.
- Marquette is looking to build momentum early in the season and prove their strength against non-conference opponents. Little Rock is seeking a signature win to boost their confidence and resume.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans: 1600, Marquette Golden Eagles: -4500 | Marquette Golden Eagles | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans: 20.5 -110, Marquette Golden Eagles: -20.5 -110 | Marquette Golden Eagles -20.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 -110, Under: 157.5 -110 | Over 157.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marquette Golden Eagles -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 157.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marquette is expected to dominate this game due to their superior offensive efficiency, rebounding, and defensive capabilities. Little Rock's defensive struggles and lack of size will make it difficult for them to keep pace. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with Marquette covering the spread and the total going over.
Predicted Score: Marquette 88, Little Rock 70