Match Analysis: Maine Black Bears vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Gym, Orono, ME
Game Overview
The Maine Black Bears host the Quinnipiac Bobcats at Memorial Gym in Orono, ME. Quinnipiac is slightly favored based on recent performances and odds, with Maine struggling early in the season and Quinnipiac showing slight edge in head-to-head and current form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maine Black Bears have a 0-3 start, showing struggles both offensively and defensively. Quinnipiac Bobcats stand at 1-2 but have been more competitive overall. Maine covers the spread more frequently than their win record suggests, while total points have favored the under in recent Maine games.
- In the last two encounters, Quinnipiac won both matches including a recent home game on 11/15/24 (58-55). Historically, Maine covers the spread about evenly against Quinnipiac, but Quinnipiac holds the edge in winning outright.
- No specific injury reports currently available for either team, suggesting full rosters for this game.
- The game is at Maine's home court, but public betting strongly favors Maine (79% bets) despite Quinnipiac being the odds favorite, indicating possible sharp money support for Quinnipiac.
- Quinnipiac looks to improve their record and maintain momentum, while Maine seeks to break their losing streak at home, boosting motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maine Black Bears: +124, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -148 | Quinnipiac Bobcats to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Maine Black Bears: +2.5 -108, Quinnipiac Bobcats: -2.5 -112 | Quinnipiac Bobcats -2.5 to cover | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over: 139.5 -105, Under: 139.5 -115 | Under 139.5 points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Quinnipiac Bobcats -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Quinnipiac Bobcats are favored to win narrowly due to better recent form and deeper roster. Expect a competitive game with a moderately close margin.
Predicted Score: Quinnipiac Bobcats 70 – 66 Maine Black Bears