Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Game Overview
Maccabi Tel Aviv hosts Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano in a crucial EuroLeague matchup. Both teams are under pressure, with Maccabi facing internal turmoil and Olimpia seeking momentum. The game is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides having strong defensive capabilities and recent struggles in consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown mixed results this season, struggling with coaching decisions and player rotations. Their recent loss to Virtus Bologna highlighted defensive lapses and questionable bench management. Olimpia Milano has been more consistent but lacks explosive scoring, relying on balanced team play and solid defense.
- Historically, Maccabi Tel Aviv leads the head-to-head series with 17 wins to Olimpia Milano's 14. Both teams average around 83.4 points per game in their matchups, indicating closely matched offensive and defensive capabilities.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is dealing with injuries: TJ Leaf is out due to a calf strain, and Jeff Dowtin Jr. will be sidelined for six weeks. Iffe Lundberg's availability is uncertain. Olimpia Milano has no major reported injuries.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is experiencing high internal tension, with coach Oded Kattash under scrutiny after recent losses. Fan unrest and potential coaching changes could affect team morale. Olimpia Milano is relatively stable, with no major off-court distractions.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv is highly motivated to avoid further losses and potential coaching changes. Olimpia Milano is motivated to capitalize on Maccabi's instability and improve their standings in the league.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maccabi Tel Aviv: -136, Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: 112 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Not available |
| Spread | Maccabi Tel Aviv: -2.5, Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano: 2.5 | Maccabi Tel Aviv -2.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 174.5, Under: 174.5 | Under | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 174.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 174.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Maccabi Tel Aviv's home advantage, historical edge, and the high stakes for their coach, they are slightly favored. However, Olimpia Milano's stability and recent form make them a strong contender. The game is expected to be close, with Maccabi likely to edge out a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 85 – 80 Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano