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Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FC Barcelona Bàsquet – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-14
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Aleksandar Nikolic Hall
Game Overview
The Euroleague basketball match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and FC Barcelona Bàsquet is set to take place on October 14, 2025, at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall. Both teams have a storied rivalry with FC Barcelona holding a stronger recent head-to-head record, including dominant wins in previous seasons. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown resilience in close games but Barcelona has generally been the more consistent and higher-scoring side.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Barcelona has won 63% of the recent head-to-head encounters against Maccabi Tel Aviv (22 wins against 13), including a convincing 100-71 victory on Feb 5, 2025. Barcelona's offense is strong with multiple 90+ scoring games, while Maccabi’s offense can sputter against top defenses. Maccabi recently demonstrated a balanced offense with notable performances by players like Jeff Dowtin Jr. and Lonnie Walker IV, indicating potential to challenge Barcelona’s defense.
- The last 10 Euroleague meetings favor Barcelona significantly (63% win rate), including a large margin win earlier this year and several tight matches where Barcelona edged out Maccabi. Maccabi has occasionally kept games close but seldom dominated.
- No explicit information about injuries was found in the current data, indicating both teams potentially at full strength.
- The match location at Aleksandar Nikolic Hall does not confer home court advantage to either team directly as it appears neutral or a designated venue in this context. Both teams are highly motivated at this early stage of the Euroleague season to secure points and momentum.
- Barcelona enters the match with confidence from previous wins and a recent track record of consistent Euroleague success. Maccabi Tel Aviv, coming off a recent intense and victorious performance, will be highly motivated to upset Barcelona on a neutral court and improve their season standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Maccabi Tel Aviv: 3.60, FC Barcelona: 1.30, Draw: N/A | FC Barcelona win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Spread | Maccabi Tel Aviv +7.5: 1.85, FC Barcelona -7.5: 1.95 | Barcelona -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 165.5: 1.90, Under 165.5: 1.90 | Over 165.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Barcelona is favored to win based on superior recent head-to-head dominance, offensive consistency, and overall team strength. However, Maccabi Tel Aviv's balanced attack and recent good form suggest a competitive game. Prediction leans towards a narrow Barcelona win.
Predicted Score: Barcelona 88 – 80 Maccabi Tel Aviv