Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs New Orleans Privateers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center
Game Overview
LSU Tigers host New Orleans Privateers in a non-conference matchup. LSU enters with a 1-0 record and a dominant home win, while New Orleans is 2-0 with a recent road victory. LSU is heavily favored, with the sportsbooks pricing them as near-locks to win and cover a large spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- LSU has shown strong defensive and offensive dominance in their opener, winning by 36 points. New Orleans has won two games but struggled offensively, averaging 78 points per game and shooting just 49% from the field. LSUβs home advantage and superior talent level are clear.
- LSU has won the last three meetings, including an 86-70 victory in the most recent matchup. LSU has consistently covered large spreads in these games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- LSU is playing at home in a hostile environment, which historically amplifies their performance. New Orleans is traveling and facing a much higher level of competition.
- LSU is motivated to build momentum early in the season and prove themselves against a team that has shown some offensive capability. New Orleans is looking to upset a Power 5 opponent but faces a steep challenge.
- LSU is expected to dominate both offensively and defensively, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total due to their defensive pressure and New Orleansβ inconsistent shooting.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -4500, away: 1600 | LSU Tigers | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -19.5, away: 19.5 | LSU Tigers -19.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 158.5, under: 158.5 | Under 158.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | LSU Tigers -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
No prediction available.
Predicted Score: LSU 82, New Orleans 70