Match Analysis: LSU Tigers vs Florida Int'l Golden Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
Game Overview
The LSU Tigers, undefeated at 2-0 and dominant at home, face the Florida International Golden Panthers, who are 1-1 with a recent heavy road loss. LSU has demonstrated strong offensive and defensive performances early this season with blowout wins, while FIU has struggled significantly against a Big Ten opponent on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- LSU is unbeaten with two convincing home wins, covering large spreads and shooting efficiently (~43%). FIU is 1-1, coming off a lopsided 96-66 loss at Nebraska, showing struggles on the road and with shooting under 40%.
- LSU has historically dominated non-conference home games, winning 11 straight at Pete Maravich Assembly Center. FIU has lost 16 of its last 17 away games with rest advantage, indicating a poor road form against rested opponents.
- No major injuries reported for either team, full roster availability expected for both.
- LSU benefits from home court advantage in an arena where it has posted strong recent success; FIU faces challenges traveling and playing in hostile environments.
- LSU aims to maintain undefeated status and continue their dominant start against a weaker opponent. FIU looks to rebound from a heavy defeat and secure their second season win, but motivation may be tempered by LSUβs strength.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LSU: -4500, Florida Int'l: +1600 | LSU Tigers | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | LSU: -104, Florida Int'l: -118 | LSU Tigers -21.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: -110, Under: -110 | Under 159.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | LSU Tigers -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 159.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 159.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LSU Tigers to win moneyline and cover -21.5 spread; Under 159.5 total points is favored due to expected LSU defensive dominance and FIU's offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: LSU Tigers 95 – Florida Int'l Golden Panthers 57