Match Analysis: Loyola (MD) Greyhounds vs NJIT Highlanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reitz Arena, Baltimore, MD
Game Overview
Loyola (MD) Greyhounds host NJIT Highlanders in an early season NCAAB matchup with both teams coming in at 1-1 records. Loyola Maryland enters on strong recent form with a dominant 36-point win last game, displaying a robust offense and defense. NJIT has struggled offensively and defensively, suffering a 14-point loss last outing and averaging just 62.5 points per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Loyola Maryland has shown strong home performance, winning 8 of their last 9 Tuesday games at Reitz Arena and scoring an average of 76 points per game recently. NJIT's offense is below average this season, shooting just 39.5% and averaging 62.5 points, with defensive vulnerabilities conceding 67.5 points per game.
- Recent data and simulations give Loyola a 72-75% chance to win versus NJITβs 25-28%. Historical trends favor Loyola at home significantly; NJIT has lost 9 of last 10 night games against non-conference opponents away.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting projected starters or rotation players before the game.
- Home court advantage favors Loyola significantly; the venue is Reitz Arena in Baltimore, correlating with their strong home records. No weather, travel, or extraneous factors reported to influence outcome materially.
- Loyola likely highly motivated to assert dominance early in home conference play, following a commanding win. NJIT has motivation to rebound but faces psychological pressure from past night road losses and losing first halves in recent games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -300, away: +235 | Loyola (MD) Greyhounds | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -6.5 -118, away: +6.5 -104 | Loyola (MD) -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 144.5 -106, under: 144.5 -118 | Under 144.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola (MD) Greyhounds -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola (MD) Greyhounds to win both moneyline and cover the spread. The total points are expected to fall under the line set at 144.5 given slower pace and strong defense by Loyola.
Predicted Score: Loyola (MD) 74 – NJIT 57