Match Analysis: Loyola Marymount Lions vs Troy Trojans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Gersten Pavilion
Game Overview
Loyola Marymount Lions host Troy Trojans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Both teams enter undefeated, with LMU 4-0 and Troy 3-0. LMU is favored at home, with the spread set at -4.5 and the total at 142.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Loyola Marymount is 4-0, averaging 84.25 PPG and 62.5 PPG allowed. Troy is 3-0, averaging 87.7 PPG and 61.3 PPG allowed. Both teams are elite offensively, ranking in the top 50 nationally in scoring and shooting efficiency. LMU has won 8 straight non-conference games, while Troy has won 9 straight non-conference games.
- No recent H2H data available for this matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Game played at Gersten Pavilion, LMU's home court. Both teams are coming off strong offensive performances, with recent games featuring high scoring and efficient shooting.
- Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain momentum early in the season. LMU has a strong home record against non-AP-ranked opponents, winning the first half in 12 of its last 13 such games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -188, away: 152 | Loyola Marymount Lions | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -4.5, away: 4.5 | Loyola Marymount Lions -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 142.5, under: 142.5 | Over 142.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola Marymount Lions -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 142.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola Marymount Lions win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total.
Predicted Score: Loyola Marymount 75, Troy 70