Match Analysis: Loyola (Chi) Ramblers vs North Texas Mean Green – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Joseph J. Gentile Arena, Chicago
Game Overview
North Texas Mean Green (2-0) travel to face Loyola Chicago Ramblers (1-1) in a non-conference matchup. North Texas enters with strong defensive numbers and a recent blowout win, while Loyola Chicago is coming off a home loss and has struggled defensively. The game features contrasting styles, with North Texas playing at a slow tempo and Loyola Chicago showing offensive inconsistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Texas is averaging 84 points per game and allowing just 53.5, ranking 15th nationally in defensive efficiency. Their field goal and three-point defense are both top-150. Loyola Chicago is scoring 78 points per game but allowing 80.5, ranking 191st in points allowed and 216th in opponent field goal percentage. The Ramblers have allowed opponents to shoot 44.9% overall and 37.5% from three, both near the bottom of the NCAA. North Texas has covered the spread in both games, while Loyola Chicago is 0-2 ATS.
- Loyola Chicago won the last meeting 57-49. North Texas has a 2-0 record this season, while Loyola Chicago is 1-1. The Ramblers' only win was a narrow victory over Cleveland State, and their loss was to Mercyhurst. North Texas' wins have been dominant, including an 80-53 win over Northwestern State.
- No injuries reported for North Texas. Loyola Chicago has Xavier Amos listed as questionable, which could impact their frontcourt depth.
- North Texas is playing at a very slow tempo (68.7 possessions per game, 353rd nationally), while Loyola Chicago is also methodical (71.5 possessions, 224th). Both teams are likely to keep the pace low, favoring a lower-scoring game. North Texas is shooting 46.2% from three (22nd nationally), while Loyola Chicago is 263rd in three-point defense.
- North Texas is looking to build momentum after two strong wins. Loyola Chicago is seeking to rebound from a home loss and prove they can compete with quality opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola (Chi) Ramblers: 126, North Texas Mean Green: -152 | North Texas Mean Green | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Loyola (Chi) Ramblers: 2.5 -110, North Texas Mean Green: -2.5 -110 | North Texas Mean Green covers | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 141.5 -110, Under: 141.5 -110 | Under | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 141.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 141.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Texas is favored to win and cover the spread due to their superior defense and recent form. Loyola Chicago's defensive struggles and questionable injury status make it difficult to see them keeping pace. The game is likely to be low-scoring, with North Texas controlling tempo and limiting Loyola Chicago's offensive efficiency.
Predicted Score: North Texas 68, Loyola Chicago 64