Match Analysis: Louisville Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky
Game Overview
Louisville Cardinals (3-0) host Ohio Bobcats (1-2) in a non-conference matchup. Louisville enters with significant momentum following a statement 96-88 victory over #9 Kentucky on Tuesday, while Ohio is struggling at 1-2 after a 90-60 road loss to Saint Mary's. The Cardinals are heavily favored with a 95.8% win probability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Louisville has dominated early, averaging 102 ppg while holding opponents to under 65 ppg. The Cardinals shoot 33.3% from three (11.7 makes per game) and 73.7% from the free throw line. Ohio averages under 70 ppg offensively with poor shooting consistency and has given up nearly 80 ppg defensively. Louisville is ranked 26th in tempo (74.4 possessions/game) while Ohio sits 92nd (72.8 possessions/game).
- Louisville owns a 10-3 all-time series advantage and has won the last three consecutive matchups, including a 59-54 home win on November 25, 2011.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Game played at Louisville's home arena with strong home-court advantage. Louisville broadcasting on The CW Network. High-profile win over Kentucky on Tuesday provides psychological momentum for Cardinals.
- Louisville seeks to remain unbeaten and extend home win streak to four games. Ohio attempts to snap a two-game losing streak and avoid a 1-3 start to the season. Louisville has everything to prove after beating a top-10 team; Ohio faces desperation but lacks the talent to compete.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisville -100000 / Ohio +5000 | Louisville Cardinals | β β β β β 96% |
| Spread | Louisville -31.5 -115 / Ohio +31.5 -105 | Louisville -31.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 175.5 -110 / Under 175.5 -110 | Over 175.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisville Cardinals -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 175.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 175.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Louisville Cardinals will decisively defeat Ohio Bobcats by approximately 25-30 points. The Cardinals' elite offensive firepower, stifling defense, depth, tempo advantage, and home-court dominance are too much for a struggling Ohio team. Expect Louisville to control pace and build an early lead that widens throughout the game.
Predicted Score: Louisville 101, Ohio 73