Match Analysis: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 12, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cajundome, Lafayette, Louisiana
Game Overview
Tulane Green Wave (2-0) travel to face Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (1-1) in an early-season conference matchup. Tulane enters as a significant favorite, coming off impressive wins over Texas State and Sam Houston, while Louisiana seeks to bounce back after falling to Ball State before defeating Southeastern Louisiana at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has demonstrated elite offensive efficiency, averaging 82.0 points while shooting 51.0% overall and nearly 49% from three-point range. The Green Wave allow just 71.5 points per game and show balanced scoring led by guard Rowan Brumbaugh (22.5 PPG, 95.2% FT), supported by Asher Woods (13.5 PPG) and Curtis Williams Jr. (12.0 PPG on 66.7% shooting). Tulane averages 28.0 rebounds and 15.0 assists with strong perimeter defense (8.5 steals, 7.5 blocks per game). Louisiana has shown inconsistency, splitting their first two games with mixed results.
- Insufficient recent head-to-head data provided in available search results. However, Tulane's dominant early-season performance and superior offensive efficiency suggest a strong matchup advantage.
- No injury information disclosed in available search results.
- Louisiana plays at home in the Cajundome, which typically provides home court advantage. However, this benefit appears marginal given Tulane's strong road record potential and Louisiana's 0-1 record against the spread in road games (though playing at home here). The late-night tip-off (1:00 AM UTC / 8:00 PM ET) is standard for ESPN+ broadcasts.
- Tulane seeks to maintain undefeated status and build early-season momentum. Louisiana faces motivation to improve home record after a loss at Ball State and will look to establish consistency. The neutral setting of a conference game provides balanced motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana +215 / Tulane -265 | Tulane Green Wave -265 | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | Louisiana +6.5 -112 / Tulane -6.5 -108 | Tulane -6.5 -108 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 136.5 -110 / Under 136.5 -110 | Over 136.5 -110 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 136.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 136.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane Green Wave will defeat Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 7-8 points. The Green Wave's superior offensive efficiency, balanced scoring attack, elite perimeter defense, and undefeated record position them as clear favorites. Louisiana's inconsistency (1-1 record) and weaker defensive profile support the visitor's edge despite playing on the road.
Predicted Score: Tulane 79, Louisiana 71