Match Analysis: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns vs Tulane Green Wave – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 12, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Cajundome, Lafayette, Louisiana
Game Overview
The Tulane Green Wave (2-0) travel to face the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (1-1) in a matchup featuring contrasting momentum. Tulane enters undefeated with impressive offensive efficiency and strong defensive metrics, while Louisiana seeks to recover from a road loss at Ball State. This non-conference game showcases a significant talent disparity, with Tulane establishing itself as a clear favorite through dominant early-season performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane has demonstrated elite-level basketball, averaging 82.0 points per game while limiting opponents to just 71.5 PPG. The Green Wave shoot 51.0% from the field and an exceptional 49.0% from three-point range, while maintaining strong defensive discipline with 8.5 steals and 7.5 blocks per game. Their balanced attack features guard Rowan Brumbaugh (22.5 PPG, 50% FG, 95.2% FT), Asher Woods (13.5 PPG), and Curtis Williams Jr. (12.0 PPG on 66.7% shooting). Louisiana, conversely, averages 65.4 PPG on 39.9% shooting with a concerning 73.0 PPG allowed. The Cajuns rank 351st in offensive output and 209th in defensive efficiency, indicating significant performance gaps across the board.
- No historical head-to-head data is available for this matchup, as this appears to be an early-season non-conference contest. However, the statistical disparities suggest Tulane holds a substantial competitive advantage.
- No injury information is available in the provided data. Both teams appear to be operating at full roster capacity for this matchup.
- Tulane faces a road environment at the Cajundome, which could present minor challenges. Louisiana's home-court advantage is partially offset by their struggling defensive metrics and recent loss to Ball State. The late start time (1:00 AM UTC / 8:00 PM ET) may affect player performance, though this is standard for mid-week college basketball games.
- Tulane seeks to maintain its undefeated record and validate its strong early-season play against a conference opponent. Louisiana needs to demonstrate resilience following their loss to Ball State and prove they can compete against talented non-conference teams. The motivational edge belongs to Tulane given their success trajectory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Louisiana +215 | Tulane -265 | Tulane Green Wave Moneyline | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Louisiana +6.5 (-112) | Tulane -6.5 (-108) | Tulane -6.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 136.5 (-110) | Under 136.5 (-110) | Under 136.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 136.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 136.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane is heavily favored to win this contest based on overwhelming statistical advantages in shooting efficiency, defensive prowess, and scoring differential. The Green Wave's balanced offensive attack, led by Brumbaugh's exceptional play, and their elite perimeter defense should prove too much for Louisiana's struggling offense. Expect Tulane to control the game throughout and secure a convincing victory.
Predicted Score: Tulane 79, Louisiana 68