Match Analysis: Longwood Lancers vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Joan Perry Brock Center, Longwood, VA
Game Overview
The Longwood Lancers, holding a 3-1 record, host the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks, who are currently 1-4. This NCAA Men’s basketball game sees a clear favorite in Longwood based on current form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Longwood has demonstrated stronger performance with a 3-1 record, including a dominant 92-55 win and a defensive average allowing only 71.8 points per game. Maryland-Eastern Shore currently struggles with a 1-4 record and significant recent losses with large margins.
- Historical matchups are few with Longwood showing dominance. No recent direct clashes add to uncertainty, but Longwood's overall stronger stats and home advantage suggest an edge.
- No reported injuries for either team at this time, indicating both squads are expected to field their available rosters.
- Playing at home significantly benefits Longwood, with reported strong home game totals going over recently. Public betting overwhelmingly favors Longwood, indicating high confidence in their win.
- Longwood aims to maintain its winning momentum and capitalize on home court advantage. Maryland-Eastern Shore, with a poor start, is motivated to upset and improve its record but faces tough odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Longwood Lancers: -2000, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: 1000 | Longwood Lancers to win | ★★★★★ 95% |
| Spread | Longwood Lancers: -18.5 -105, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: 18.5 -115 | Longwood to cover the -18.5 spread | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 142.5 -115, Under: 142.5 -105 | Over 142.5 points total | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Longwood Lancers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 142.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 142.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Longwood Lancers are projected to win convincingly due to superior form, home advantage, and statistical dominance. The forecast suggests a win margin greater than the -18.5 point spread.
Predicted Score: Longwood Lancers 83 – 60 Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks