Match Analysis: LIU Sharks vs James Madison Dukes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Steinberg Wellness Center, Brooklyn, NY
Game Overview
James Madison Dukes (2-2) visit the LIU Sharks (2-1) in a closely matched NCAA basketball contest. LIU holds a slight edge offensively with higher shooting percentages and recent home success, while James Madison's balanced inside-out game and first-half performances promise a competitive encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- LIU averages 79.0 points per game on 48.6% shooting, ranking 106th nationally, but struggles defensively allowing 83.7 points per game. James Madison scores slightly less (74.3 PPG), shoots 43.5% with decent 3PT and free throw efficiency, and has a 2-2 record. LIU boasts strong rebounding (38.7 boards/game) and forces turnovers (15.3/game).
- Last meeting in Dec. 2022 saw James Madison dominate 115-79; however, LIU has won 9 of last 11 games overall and 5 consecutive home games following road wins, suggesting strong home advantage. James Madison struggles on the road with a rest disadvantage, losing last 4 away such games.
- No significant injury reports or absences for either team have been highlighted in recent sources, indicating both teams likely have full rosters available.
- The game is held at LIU's Steinberg Wellness Center, giving them home court advantage. James Madison has difficulty winning on the road, especially with short rest, and LIU has recent strong home form. Motivational factors such as conference positioning or travel disruption appear minimal.
- LIU is motivated to extend their home winning streak and defend against a non-conference opponent they historically dislike losing to at home. James Madison aims to rebound from recent inconsistent away form, and their strong first-half performance history in night games suggests early aggressiveness.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Madison Dukes: -115, LIU Sharks: -105 | LIU Sharks | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | James Madison Dukes: -1.5 -112, LIU Sharks: +1.5 -108 | LIU Sharks +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5: -110, Under 147.5: -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | LIU Sharks 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
LIU Sharks to win outright on the moneyline, cover the +1.5 spread, and the total to go under 147.5 points.
Predicted Score: LIU Sharks 74, James Madison Dukes 70