Match Analysis: Liberty Flames vs Florida Atlantic Owls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Liberty Arena, Lynchburg, VA
Game Overview
Liberty Flames (2-0) host Florida Atlantic Owls (2-0) in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with strong offensive starts, but Liberty’s defense and home-court edge give them a clear statistical advantage. The game features high-powered offenses, but Liberty’s defensive efficiency and rebounding dominance should be decisive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liberty ranks 11th in points allowed (63.4) and 14th in field goal percentage (48.9%), while FAU ranks 288th in points allowed (75.6) and 139th in field goal percentage allowed (43.3%). Liberty is averaging 94 PPG on 57.9% shooting, FAU 83 PPG on 43.3% shooting. Liberty’s defense is elite, FAU’s is below average.
- FAU won the last meeting 77-74 in overtime, but Liberty is a much stronger team this season. FAU’s win was narrow and required extra time, indicating Liberty’s competitiveness.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is at Liberty Arena, a tough road environment for visiting teams. Liberty is 2-0 at home, FAU is 1-0 on the road.
- Both teams are undefeated and motivated to maintain momentum. Liberty has a clear edge in defensive motivation and home-court pride.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away: 210, home: -260 | Liberty Flames | Not available |
| Spread | away: 5.5, home: -5.5 | Liberty Flames -5.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 151.5, under: 151.5 | Under 151.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liberty Flames 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 28% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liberty Flames win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total due to Liberty’s defensive pressure and rebounding control.
Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 78, Florida Atlantic Owls 72