Match Analysis: Le Moyne Dolphins vs Niagara Purple Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 17, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Le Moyne Dolphins Home Court
Game Overview
NEC conference matchup between Le Moyne Dolphins (1-3 record) hosting Niagara Purple Eagles (2-1 record). Niagara enters as the slight favorite despite playing on the road, indicating market perception of stronger team quality despite Le Moyne's home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Niagara holds a 2-1 record compared to Le Moyne's struggling 1-3 start. Recent form shows Le Moyne has lost 4 consecutive games with losses to MASS (80-94), BGSU (60-83), XAV (69-74), CCSU (67-86), and STNH (79-85). Niagara demonstrates superior early-season performance with only one loss. Le Moyne is averaging approximately 70 points in recent outings while conceding 84+ points per game.
- No direct historical matchup data available in provided search results. Limited H2H context restricts ability to identify patterns or trends from previous encounters.
- No injury information provided in available search results. Status of key players for either team remains unknown.
- Game is part of NEC (Northeast Conference) play. Le Moyne plays as home team, typically providing 3-4 point advantage in college basketball. However, Le Moyne's 1-3 record suggests significant home-court struggles early in the season.
- Niagara seeking to maintain winning record on road. Le Moyne desperately needs a win to stabilize season after losing streak, potentially providing motivation boost despite poor recent form. First conference game or non-conference matchup context unclear from data.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Moyne -105 | Niagara -115 | Niagara Purple Eagles | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Le Moyne +1.5 (-120) | Niagara -1.5 (100) | Niagara -1.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
| Over/under | Over 144.5 (-110) | Under 144.5 (-110) | Under 144.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Niagara Purple Eagles -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Niagara Purple Eagles to win SU despite road disadvantage. Strong record differential and Le Moyne's severe losing streak outweigh home-court advantage. Expect competitive game with Niagara pulling away in final quarter.
Predicted Score: Niagara 73, Le Moyne 70