Match Analysis: KK Partizan NIS vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Beogradska Arena
Game Overview
Euroleague clash between KK Partizan NIS and AS Monaco, two teams in strong current form but facing contrasting overall seasons. Partizan enjoys robust home support and a noted defensive culture, while Monaco boasts a higher offensive pace and efficiency. Recent encounters have been tightly contested, with Partizan's home games historically being tough for visitors.
Key Factors to Consider
- Partizan has 4 wins, 6 losses; Monaco holds 8 wins, 2 losses. Monaco is performing at a higher level overall, but Partizan’s home form is notably stronger than their road form, and their defensive intensity increases notably at Beogradska Arena. Recent results suggest Partizan is finding rhythm but may still lack the offensive punch of Monaco[1].
- Head-to-head record is close, with Monaco slightly ahead over the last several meetings[9]. The last two encounters were split, with Partizan winning 86-69 at Monaco (Feb. 2025), and Monaco winning 79-74 at Partizan (Oct. 2024)[9]. Both teams have shown the ability to win on each other’s courts, but Partizan’s home-crowd advantage has been significant in the past[9].
- No major injuries reported for either side based on current lineups, with both clubs fielding near full-strength squads[1].
- Partizan benefits from a passionate home crowd in Beogradska Arena, creating one of the toughest road environments in the Euroleague. The arena’s size and energy can be a factor in tight games. No major travel issues for Monaco, but the emotional edge lies with the home team.
- Both teams are in the hunt for higher playoff seeding, so intensity will be high. Monaco will want to reverse their previous loss to Partizan, while Partizan will look to build momentum and defend their home court.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco: -122, KK Partizan NIS: +102 | AS Monaco win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | AS Monaco: -1.5 -110, KK Partizan NIS: +1.5 -110 | AS Monaco cover (win by more than 1.5) | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 -110, Under 167.5 -110 | Over 167.5 | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 167.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 167.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home crowd, Partizan’s defensive resilience, and the statistical tightness of this matchup, this has all the makings of a nail-biter. However, Monaco’s superior offensive output and season-long consistency offer a slight edge. In the end, expect Monaco’s talent to overcome Partizan’s intensity by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 86 – KK Partizan Nis 81
