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Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Žalgiris – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-14
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Belgrade Arena
Game Overview
The EuroLeague match between KK Crvena zvezda and Žalgiris Kaunas promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have shown resilience, with Crvena zvezda recently achieving a surprising road win against the reigning champions despite injuries. Žalgiris has historically performed well against Crvena zvezda in their past matchups, often edging close games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crvena zvezda has struggled in recent matches with a 1-4 record but demonstrated strong effort by winning against a top-tier opponent on the road in turbulent circumstances. Žalgiris has maintained a more consistent winning record against Crvena zvezda, showcasing superior shooting percentages and rebounding prowess in their last meeting.
- Žalgiris leads the head-to-head record significantly, winning about 72% of recent encounters including close games in February and October 2025 where the margins were narrow (e.g., 86-80 and 86-84). Their recent clashes have been competitive but slightly favored Žalgiris.
- Crvena zvezda continues to face challenges due to injuries affecting key players, which impacted their lineup and strategy in recent games. This remains a concern going into the match.
- Crvena zvezda will play at home in Belgrade which should provide a strong home-court advantage. Additionally, their recent coaching changes and lineup disruptions may impact team dynamics but also motivate a strong response.
- Crvena zvezda looks motivated to build on their recent upset win to set a positive tone for the season. Žalgiris aims to maintain their dominance in the matchup and capitalize on their better season record and positional strength.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home_win: 2.10, away_win: 1.75, draw: N/A | Away Win (Žalgiris) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | home: +4.5 (1.90), away: -4.5 (1.95) | Away -4.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over_160.5: 1.85, under_160.5: 1.95 | Over 160.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the detailed analysis of recent form, head-to-head results, injuries, and motivation levels, Žalgiris is slightly favored to win but the margin is expected to be close with high competitiveness from Crvena zvezda at home.
Predicted Score: Žalgiris 85 – 79 Crvena zvezda