Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs Olympiacos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Belgrade Arena
Game Overview
This Euroleague basketball match features KK Crvena zvezda hosting Olympiacos at the Belgrade Arena. Both teams have strong histories in Euroleague competition, with Olympiacos slightly favored based on recent form and away performance. The game is significant for positioning in the Euroleague standings as both teams compete for playoff positioning.
Key Factors to Consider
- Olympiacos has a season record of 15-4, including a strong 6-2 on the road. KK Crvena zvezda stands at 12-8 overall and 9-3 at home, showing solid home court strength. Recent games show Olympiacos narrowly edging Crvena zvezda in their latest matchups.
- The head-to-head (H2H) record between these teams since 2000 is closely contested, with Olympiacos holding a slight edge with 9 wins to Crvena zvezda's 8 in their last 17 encounters. Recent scores have been competitive and close, such as the match on March 20, 2025, where Crvena zvezda won 81-73 away, and other games within a few points margin.
- No specific injury reports for key players are available publicly before the match. Both teams appear to have their main rotations intact, which likely maintains overall team strength and tactical plans.
- The match is played in Belgrade, favoring the home team with the local crowd support. Travel and fatigue could slightly influence Olympiacos, but their experience in Euroleague away games mitigates this.
- Motivation is high for both sides as Euroleague standings are tight. Crvena zvezda aims to solidify home dominance, while Olympiacos seeks to capitalize on road victories to improve their ranking. Historical rivalry and recent close outcomes boost competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda: 100, Olympiacos: -120 | Olympiacos | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | KK Crvena zvezda +1.5: -108, Olympiacos -1.5: -112 | Olympiacos -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 166.5: -115, Under 166.5: -105 | Under 166.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Olympiacos 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 166.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 166.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Olympiacos is predicted to win a closely contested game due to slightly better recent form and more consistent road play. The match will likely be decided by a margin close to the spread line.
Predicted Score: Olympiacos 84 – 82 KK Crvena zvezda