Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Belgrade
Game Overview
Euroleague clash between KK Crvena zvezda (Serbia), a traditional powerhouse with strong home support, and ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne (France), a competitive but less consistent French side. The key context is Crvena zvezda's recent head-to-head and form advantage, plus the significance of early-season EuroLeague standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crvena zvezda has won 6 of the last 10 H2H meetings and is currently in strong recent form as well[1]. ASVEL, while capable, has historically struggled away at Crvena zvezda, especially at the crowded, intense Aleksandar Nikolić Hall.
- Crvena zvezda leads the last 10 encounters 6-4, including a 73-66 win in the most recent meeting[1].
- No specific injury reports available in the provided data. Assume rosters are close to full strength, which favors the deeper, more experienced Serbian side.
- Crvena zvezda benefits from a passionate home crowd and a well-established EuroLeague routine; ASVEL rarely matches this environment on the road.
- Both teams will be eager for a strong EuroLeague start, but Crvena zvezda's home-opener adds extra urgency to perform after playoff contention last season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crvena zvezda -500, ASVEL +360 | Crvena zvezda moneyline | ★★★★☆ 87% |
| Spread | Crvena zvezda -9.5 -110, ASVEL +9.5 -113 | Crvena zvezda -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 73% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 -110, Under 167.5 -113 | Under 167.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda 282% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: KK Crvena zvezda at 282% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Crvena zvezda is a strong favorite in all markets based on recent results, home dominance, and depth. ASVEL can be feisty, but is outmatched here. The total is set high but the teams' last meeting only reached 139, suggesting under value.
Predicted Score: Crvena zvezda 85 – ASVEL 72