Match Analysis: KK Crvena zvezda vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Beogradska Arena, Belgrade, Serbia
Game Overview
EuroLeague matchup between KK Crvena zvezda (home) and AS Monaco (away). Crvena zvezda enters as slight favorites with strong recent form, while Monaco seeks to upset on the road. This is a competitive contest between two mid-tier EuroLeague contenders with significant recent H2H history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crvena zvezda: 9-1 record (90% win rate) with strong recent form, including victories over Buducnost (95-79) and Panathinaikos (86-68). Monaco: 8-2 record (80% win rate) showing solid consistency. Crvena zvezda demonstrates superior current form and dominance at home, a critical advantage in Belgrade.
- Recent H2H shows competitive matchups with split results. Most recent encounter: Crvena zvezda won 88-82 on 2025-01-17 at home. Historical pattern indicates home court advantage is significant, with Crvena zvezda performing well in Belgrade. Monaco has won on the road previously but faces challenging conditions.
- No injury information available in current data. Assume full roster availability for both teams unless specified otherwise.
- Home court advantage is substantial at Beogradska Arena (capacity 25,000). Crvena zvezda's dominant recent form suggests confidence and momentum. The game's timing and venue favor the home team's rhythm and fan support.
- Crvena zvezda motivated to maintain undefeated home record and top-tier EuroLeague positioning. Monaco faces pressure to prove consistency on the road against strong opposition. Both teams have strong seasonal records indicating high motivation levels.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crvena zvezda: -132 | Monaco: +105 | KK Crvena zvezda ML | β β β β β 71% |
| Spread | Crvena zvezda -2 (-108) | Monaco +2 (-115) | KK Crvena zvezda -2 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 167.5 (-113) | Under 167.5 (-110) | Under 167.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Crvena zvezda 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 167.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: KK Crvena zvezda at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
KK Crvena zvezda to win the matchup convincingly at home. Expected outcome favors the home team due to superior recent form (9-1 vs 8-2), home court advantage, and historical H2H patterns. Moderate confidence in a small spread victory rather than blowout, with final score expected in the 85-78 range.
Predicted Score: Crvena zvezda 85, Monaco 78