Match Analysis: Kansas St Wildcats vs California Golden Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Game Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats host the California Golden Bears in an early-season NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter undefeated, with California at 3-0 and Kansas State at 2-0. Kansas State boasts superior offensive efficiency and elite shooting percentages, especially from three-point range, while California has a better defensive profile but has struggled historically on the road in similar conditions.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State is 2-0 with dominant wins at home, displaying elite shooting (17th nationally in FG%), best 3-point shooting in the nation, and strong rebounding (39 RPG). California is 3-0 but has faced weaker opponents and has a solid defense allowing just 64 PPG with good blocks and steals but lower offensive output.
- No recent direct matchups this season; historical trends indicate Kansas State's strong home night game success and value against point spreads in non-conference play. California has struggled in road games on Thursdays, notably 0-16 SU in last 16 such games.
- No reported significant injuries affecting either team ahead of this game.
- Game at Bramlage Coliseum favors the Wildcats due to strong home court advantage and atmosphere. California's rest disadvantage and poor Thursday road performance are notable external risks for them.
- Kansas State aims to maintain an undefeated start with a strong statement win at home; California seeks to continue its unbeaten streak but faces the challenge of stepping up against tougher opposition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats -315, California Golden Bears +250 | Kansas St Wildcats | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Kansas St Wildcats -6.5 (-110), California Golden Bears +6.5 (-110) | Kansas St Wildcats -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 162.5 (-106), Under 162.5 (-114) | Under 162.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State to win straight up; cover the -6.5 spread; expect total points under 162.5.
Predicted Score: Kansas St Wildcats 82, California Golden Bears 77