Match Analysis: Kansas St Wildcats vs California Golden Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Game Overview
The match features the Kansas State Wildcats hosting the California Golden Bears. Both teams enter undefeated, with California at 3-0 and Kansas State at 2-0. Kansas State holds a home-court advantage and a stronger shooting efficiency so far, while California has strong defensive stats and good rebounding but has faced less challenging opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State is averaging high shooting percentages (55% FG), strong rebounding (39 boards per game), and has solid home victories with high scoring margins (+29, +27 points). California has a 3-0 start, averaging 85.7 points per game with 45.6% shooting overall but lower three-point efficiency (36.7%), strong rebounding (41.7 boards), good defense (64 points allowed per game), and low turnovers.
- No recent direct head-to-head data provided, but situational trends show Kansas State with a slight edge in shooting efficiency and margin of victory in recent games. California's wins have been against weaker opposition.
- No injury reports available, suggesting both teams likely at full strength.
- Kansas State benefits from home-court advantage at Bramlage Coliseum and a charged atmosphere, which historically boosts their shooting and overall performance. California will face their first road challenge of the season.
- Both teams are undefeated early in the season, but Kansas State is motivated to assert dominance at home against a quality opponent, while California aims to continue their perfect start and prove capability on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | California Golden Bears: 250, Kansas St Wildcats: -315 | Kansas St Wildcats win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | California Golden Bears: 6.5 -110, Kansas St Wildcats: -6.5 -110 | Kansas St Wildcats -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -106, Under: 162.5 -114 | Over 162.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 162.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 162.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State is favored to win both on the moneyline and against the spread due to home-court advantage, stronger shooting efficiency, and positive momentum, with California expected to put up a strong fight defensively.
Predicted Score: Kansas St Wildcats 85 – California Golden Bears 75