Match Analysis: Kansas St Wildcats vs Bellarmine Knights - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Game Overview
Kansas State Wildcats, coming off a dominant 93-64 win and featuring a balanced, high-scoring offense, hosts Bellarmine Knights, who lost 104-59 to Georgia and have struggled on both ends of the floor. The Wildcats are heavy favorites, but the size of the spread and total present betting opportunities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas State impressed in their opener with 50.7% shooting, 42 rebounds, and strong defense (7 blocks, 9 forced turnovers). Bellarmine allowed 54.3% shooting and was outrebounded 37-26 in their opener, showing major defensive vulnerabilities[1][3].
- No recent head-to-head data available.
- No significant injury reports found.
- Kansas State is at home, where they traditionally control tempo and dominate smaller opponents. No unusual travel or scheduling issues for either team[3].
- Kansas State is expected to play hard to build early-season momentum; Bellarmine may struggle for confidence after a heavy loss and is a significant underdog[1][3].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas State -30000, Bellarmine +4000 | Kansas State | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | Kansas State -27.5 -120, Bellarmine +27.5 -102 | Bellarmine +27.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 171.5 -110, Under 171.5 -110 | Under 171.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas St Wildcats 3959% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 171.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Kansas St Wildcats at 3959% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 99% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas State wins handily, but Bellarmine's offensive struggles and Kansas State's tendency to play under the total at home suggest a lower-scoring rout than the market expects.
Predicted Score: Kansas State 88, Bellarmine 59
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