Match Analysis: Kansas Jayhawks vs Syracuse Orange – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
The Kansas Jayhawks and Syracuse Orange meet in a high-profile NCAAB contest at a neutral site in Las Vegas. Kansas holds a 3-2 record, showing some inconsistency, while Syracuse is undefeated at 4-0. Both teams have contrasting styles, with Kansas boasting high field goal efficiency but Syracuse showing stronger recent performances and better ATS (against the spread) form overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas has a high field goal percentage (61.18%) and strong free throw shooting (71.84%), but they have struggled recently with a 2-3 record against the spread and 0-2 ATS on the road or neutral sites. Syracuse has outperformed Kansas with a perfect 4-0 record overall and solid recent wins, albeit with lower shooting percentages. Syracuse's defense and rebounding are strong, keeping their opponents to low scoring outputs in recent games.
- No recent direct head-to-head results were found for the 2025 season, but Kansas typically holds an edge historically on neutral sites. The matchup is expected to be competitive given Syracuseβs strong form and Kansasβs talent level.
- No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team prior to the game.
- The game takes place at a neutral venue, the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, which may neutralize home court advantages. Public betting is roughly split 50% on Kansas, indicating balanced betting interest. Weather and travel conditions are unlikely to impact players significantly.
- Syracuse remains undefeated early in the season, motivated to prove themselves against a storied program. Kansas seeks to rebound from recent mixed results and demonstrate consistency with a strong win against a tough opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kansas: -145, Syracuse: +125 | Kansas Jayhawks to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Kansas: -4.5 -110, Syracuse: +4.5 -110 | Kansas to cover -4.5 spread | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -110, Under: 147.5 -110 | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kansas Jayhawks are favored by a small margin at -4.5, but the game is expected to be tightly contested. Given Kansasβs efficiency and deeper roster, they are slightly more likely to win outright, but Syracuseβs momentum cannot be discounted. The projected score leans towards a moderately paced game with scoring near the over/under line of 147.5 points.
Predicted Score: Kansas Jayhawks 76 – Syracuse Orange 70