Match Analysis: James Madison Dukes vs Coppin St Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Atlantic Union Bank Center, Harrisonburg, VA
Game Overview
James Madison Dukes (1-1) host the Coppin State Eagles (0-2) in a non-conference matchup. JMU is coming off a home win and is a heavy favorite, while Coppin State has been outscored by a combined 50 points in two games and ranks among the worst in scoring and defense so far this season[1][5][7].
Key Factors to Consider
- James Madison averages 73.9 points per game (offense ranked 175th) and allows 70.5 (defense ranked 131st). Coppin State averages just 62.2 points per game (361st in offense) and gives up 76.4 points (301st in defense). Coppin State's offense has been inefficient (39.7% FG, 11.3 assists, 14.1 turnovers), while JMU is much more efficient (43.9% FG, 11.7 assists, 9.8 turnovers)[5][7].
- In their most recent meeting, JMU dominated Coppin State 87-48[2]. Over their last four meetings, each team has two wins[2].
- JMU's Paul Lewis (G) is out for the season with a foot injury; Coppin State has no reported injuries[3].
- Coppin State has lost 21 of its last 22 against non-conference opponents. JMU has won 16 of its last 17 non-conference home games[4].
- JMU should be heavily motivated at home, while Coppin State, despite being overmatched, will try to avoid another blowout on national TV.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | JMU -3600 / Coppin State +1500 | James Madison Dukes | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | JMU -21.5 -102 / Coppin State +21.5 -118 | James Madison Dukes -21.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 -112 / Under 146.5 -108 | Over 146.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | James Madison Dukes 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
James Madison should dominate on both ends, winning big. Coppin Stateβs offensive struggles and defensive woes point to a mismatch. JMU covers the spread, and the Over is a strong lean based on recent JMU totals and Coppin State's defensive inefficiency[2][4][6].
Predicted Score: James Madison 84, Coppin State 62[6]