Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa
Game Overview
Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) host Stonehill Skyhawks (1-4) in a non-conference matchup. Iowa State is a heavy favorite, with a dominant home record and a significant talent gap. Stonehill is struggling offensively and defensively, coming off a four-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State is 3-0 SU and ATS, averaging strong offensive production and defensive efficiency. Stonehill is 1-4 SU, 0-3 ATS, with poor offensive output and defensive lapses. Iowa State has covered the spread in 20 of 35 games last season, Stonehill covered only 12 of 30.
- No recent H2H history; this is a first-time matchup.
- No reported injuries for either team.
- Iowa State is playing at home with a strong home-court advantage. The game is on ESPN+, likely increasing home team motivation and crowd support.
- Iowa State is looking to maintain momentum and build a strong non-conference resume. Stonehill is seeking its first road win and to end a losing streak, but lacks the roster depth and talent to compete at this level.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1000 | Iowa State Cyclones | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | -36.5 -108 | Iowa State Cyclones -36.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | 147.5 -106 | Over 147.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 8% |
| Spread | Iowa State Cyclones -36.5 58% |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 44% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Iowa State Cyclones -36.5 at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State wins decisively, covering the large spread and pushing the total over the line.
Predicted Score: Iowa State 86, Stonehill 61