Match Analysis: Iona Gaels vs Hofstra Pride – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hynes Athletics Center, New Rochelle, NY
Game Overview
The NCAA basketball contest features the Iona Gaels hosting the Hofstra Pride. Iona is 0-0 to start the season, while Hofstra has begun with a 0-1 record. Hofstra is slight favorite based on current odds and recent form. Both teams have shown competitive stats in recent seasons and share a balanced rivalry history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iona Gaels have shown strong offensive numbers with 69.7 PPG and solid rebounding (33.2 RPG). Hofstra Pride averages 66.7 PPG, with comparable rebounding and slightly higher steals and turnovers. Individual leaders include Dejour Reaves (17.3 PPG for Hofstra) and Cruz Davis (14.4 PPG for Hofstra) vs competitive Iona balanced scoring. Hofstra has a slight edge on turnovers forced and defensive stats.
- The recent H2H record leans slightly towards Hofstra with 3 wins over Iona's 2 in their last 5 meetings. Last clash on 09.11.24 ended 90-76 in favor of Hofstra. Previous games have been competitive with fluctuating margins, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
- No current injury report available for either team, suggesting both squads will likely be at full strength.
- This game is played at Iona's home court, possibly giving them home-court advantage. Betting public heavily favors Iona (+1.5 spread with 100% public bets), indicating potentially strong home support. Weather or travel issues do not apply.
- Season opener for Iona, likely motivated to capitalize on home advantage and start strong. Hofstra looks to recover from an opening loss, adding urgency to perform well on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hofstra Pride: -130, Iona Gaels: 106 | Hofstra Pride | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Hofstra Pride: -1.5 (-112), Iona Gaels: +1.5 (-108) | Hofstra Pride to cover the -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 54% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5: -114, Under 145.5: -110 | Under 145.5 total points | β β β ββ 57% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hofstra Pride -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hofstra Pride to win a closely contested game by a small margin, considering the slight edge in recent H2H and key player performances.
Predicted Score: Hofstra Pride 74 – Iona Gaels 70