Match Analysis: Iona Gaels vs Hofstra Pride – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hynes Athletics Center, New Rochelle, NY
Game Overview
The matchup features the Iona Gaels hosting the Hofstra Pride in an early season NCAA college basketball game. Both teams have played minimally this season with Hofstra at 0-1 and Iona yet to start. Odds show a slight edge to Hofstra on the moneyline and against the spread, with a moderately balanced total points line at 145.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hofstra started the season with a close loss (78-82) away from home, showing a competitive edge but slight weakness on defense. Iona has not played yet this season, introducing some uncertainty but also fresher legs. Hofstra's recent form from last season and early 2025 campaign indicated solid defense, while Iona was strong offensively at home.
- No recent direct head-to-head data available from the current season; historical meetings suggest tight contests but no definitive dominance by either side.
- No reported injuries impacting key players for either team before the game, indicating both squads should compete at full strength.
- Game is played at Iona's home court which provides familiar surroundings for the Gaels but public betting heavily favors the home team 100%, possibly skewing line value.
- Both teams motivated to start the season strongly, but Hofstra may have a slight edge with their earlier game experience and an opening game that exposed some defensive issues they likely want to address quickly.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hofstra Pride: -130, Iona Gaels: +106 | Hofstra Pride | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Hofstra Pride: -1.5 -112, Iona Gaels: +1.5 -108 | Hofstra Pride -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: -114, Under: -110 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hofstra Pride -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Hofstra Pride moneyline and spread, with a lean toward the under on total points based on Hofstra's defensive tendencies and early-season cautious play style.
Predicted Score: Hofstra Pride 74 – Iona Gaels 70