Match Analysis: Iona Gaels vs Green Bay Phoenix – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Virgin Islands Sport & Fitness Center
Game Overview
Iona Gaels enter this NCAA basketball match with a strong 5-1 record, coming off a double overtime 91-84 win against Oregon State. They are favored against the struggling Green Bay Phoenix, who hold a 2-5 record after a close 79-75 victory over UMass. Offensive effectiveness and defensive stability are key contrasts, with Iona showing higher scoring averages and slightly better field goal percentages. This game is expected to be controlled by Iona with potential for an under total score outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iona Gaels average 86.2 points per game with 47% shooting, while conceding about 80.7 points. Green Bay Phoenix have scored less consistently and allowed more points, averaging a negative point differential. Iona also boast a 3-0 home record, contrasting with Green Bay's 1-5 slope away from home.
- Historical head-to-head data shows Iona has been dominant over Green Bay, with recent encounters reflecting a pattern of Iona controlling the pace and outcome. Specific past scores are not detailed, but current form heavily favors Iona.
- No reported player injuries on either team prior to the game, meaning both squads are at full strength.
- The game location in the Virgin Islands offers a neutral setting but Ionaβs better comfort and form βon the roadβ suggest they adapt well. No significant external factors like weather or player absences impact this matchup.
- Ionaβs recent strong overtime win boosts confidence and motivation to maintain their winning momentum. Green Bay looks to rebound after many losses but faces an uphill psychological challenge against a stronger team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Green Bay Phoenix: 270, Iona Gaels: -350 | Iona Gaels to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Green Bay Phoenix: -7.5 -110, Iona Gaels: +7.5 -110 | Iona Gaels to cover -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -114, Under: 154.5 -106 | Under 154.5 points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Green Bay Phoenix 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iona Gaels are predicted to win convincingly due to superior offensive metrics, defensive capability, and better current form. Expect Iona to cover the spread and push the total score under the line.
Predicted Score: Iona Gaels 77 – Green Bay Phoenix 59