Match Analysis: Iona Gaels vs Fordham Rams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hynes Athletic Center, New Rochelle, NY
Game Overview
The Iona Gaels host the Fordham Rams in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Iona riding a two-game winning streak and Fordham also on a two-game winning streak. The game is expected to be a defensive battle, with both teams showing moderate scoring output and a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring. There is no recent head-to-head history between the two teams, but historical records show a balanced rivalry over the years.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iona Gaels have started the season strong, winning both of their games with an average of 93 points per game and allowing 82 points per game. Their most recent win was a 105-91 victory over UMKC, where Kosy Akametu scored 22 points. Fordham Rams have a 2-1 record, averaging 76.7 points per game and allowing 56.7 points per game. Their last two wins were narrow, including a 63-61 win over Wagner and a 70-56 win over Saint Peter's. Fordham has shown a tendency to score over 65 points in the first half in 57% of their recent games.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between Iona Gaels and Fordham Rams. Historical records show a balanced rivalry with 31 wins each, but the last meeting was over a decade ago. The most recent historical data is not considered highly relevant for this matchup.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
- The game is being played at Iona's home venue, which could provide a slight advantage. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game. Both teams are in the early stages of their season, so there may be some inconsistency in performance.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Iona is aiming to maintain their undefeated record, while Fordham is looking to bounce back from a recent loss and prove their competitiveness against a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fordham Rams: 194, Iona Gaels: -245 | Iona Gaels | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Fordham Rams: 5.5 -110, Iona Gaels: -5.5 -110 | Iona Gaels -5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -114, Under: 158.5 -110 | Under 158.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iona Gaels -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iona Gaels are favored to win this game due to their strong start to the season and home-court advantage. The game is expected to be close, with both teams likely to score in the mid-70s. The total points are expected to stay under the 158.5 line, as both teams have shown a tendency to keep games relatively low-scoring.
Predicted Score: Iona Gaels 78 – 74 Fordham Rams