Match Analysis: Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Game Overview
The Indiana Pacers host the Detroit Pistons in an NBA regular season game. The Pacers have struggled this season with a 1-12 record, while the Pistons have dominated with an 11-2 record. The Pistons are favored heavily on the moneyline and spread, reflecting their strong recent form and the Pacers' struggles at home and overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Pistons lead the league with an 11-2 record, averaging 118.2 points per game with strong offensive efficiency (47.2% FG) and solid defense (allowing 112.2 points). Indiana Pacers struggle at 1-12 with lower offensive output (108.7 PPG) and weaker defense (allowing 123.2 PPG). Pistons also lead in assists (26.6 vs. 23.2) and steals (10.31 vs. 6.23), indicating better ball movement and defensive pressure.
- Historical data shows the Pacers slightly lead the regular season H2H series with approximately 114 wins to the Pistons' 104 out of 218 games. However, recent form favors the Pistons, who have won the last 5 games and hold a 3 series winning streak in playoffs. The Pacers have won 7 of the last 10 meetings but have lost form recently against the Pistons.
- No specific injury information was found in the search results. Presuming both teams prepare at full strength or with typical rotation players.
- The game is played at the Pacers' home court Gainbridge Fieldhouse, but their poor home record (1-5) contrasts sharply with the Pistonsβ strong road record (4-1). Current momentum heavily favors Detroit, who are on a 9-game winning streak.
- Detroit Pistons, enjoying a winning streak and excellent season start, have strong motivation to maintain momentum and position in standings. The Pacers face pressure to end their losing skid and improve home performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons: -420, Indiana Pacers: 330 | Detroit Pistons to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Detroit Pistons: -9.5 -110, Indiana Pacers: +9.5 -110 | Detroit Pistons -9.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 234.5 -110, Under: 234.5 -110 | Over 234.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 234.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 234.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Pistons are highly favored to win convincingly given their superior season form, recent dominance over the Pacers, and stronger team statistics overall.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 124 – 112 Indiana Pacers