Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Kansas St Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN
Game Overview
Indiana Hoosiers (5-0) host Kansas State Wildcats (5-1) in a non-conference matchup. Indiana is undefeated and has been dominant at home, while Kansas State is coming off a narrow loss and has faced tougher competition. The game features contrasting styles: Indiana's slower tempo and strong defense versus Kansas State's high-powered offense and three-point shooting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana is 5-0, averaging 88.2 points per game and allowing just 62.4. They are 15th in defensive efficiency and 8th in opponent eFG%. Kansas State is 5-1, averaging 92.8 points per game and allowing 79.5. The Wildcats have faced three Power 4 teams in their last four games and are 27th in tempo, while Indiana is 248th.
- No recent head-to-head meetings found; this is a rare non-conference matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Indiana plays at a much slower pace, which could limit possessions and scoring. Kansas State's top four scorers shoot between 40.9% and 52.0% from three, but Indiana's defense is stout and will try to control the game's tempo.
- Kansas State is motivated after a last-second loss to Nebraska and will look to prove itself against a top team. Indiana is aiming to extend its home winning streak and remain undefeated.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -470, Kansas St Wildcats: 360 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -9.5 -112, Kansas St Wildcats: 9.5 -108 | Kansas St Wildcats +9.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 160.5 -112, Under: 160.5 -108 | Under 160.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana is favored due to their strong defense and home-court advantage. Kansas State's offense is potent, but Indiana's slower tempo and defensive prowess should keep the game close and limit scoring. The total is likely to stay under, as Indiana's style will control the pace.
Predicted Score: Indiana 78, Kansas State 74