Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Cornell Big Red – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Arena, Normal, Illinois
Game Overview
Illinois State Redbirds face Cornell Big Red in an early season NCAA basketball match, both teams coming off 0-1 records. Illinois State is favored at home with a strong defensive reputation, while Cornell shows a potent offense but struggles defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Illinois State lost narrowly (72-68) against Ohio, showing solid defense but limited scoring. Cornell lost a high-scoring game (110-102) to Kent State, demonstrating excellent shooting especially from three but poor defense and turnovers.
- The last meeting was won by Illinois State 80-77 in a close contest, indicating a competitive matchup historically.
- No significant injury reports or absences affecting either team have been noted.
- Illinois State benefits from home court advantage at CEFCU Arena. Both teams are early in the season, so performance might still stabilize.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season with a win, but Illinois State has the edge playing at home and a more balanced team defense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois State -375, Cornell +295 | Illinois State | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Illinois State -7.5 -118, Cornell +7.5 -102 | Illinois State -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 165.5 -112, Under 165.5 -108 | Under 165.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois St Redbirds 196% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 165.5 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Illinois St Redbirds at 196% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Illinois State to win outright (moneyline), cover the -7.5 spread, and under 165.5 total points
Predicted Score: Illinois State 78 – Cornell 68