Match Analysis: Illinois St Redbirds vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: CEFCU Arena, Normal, IL
Game Overview
Illinois State Redbirds host Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams enter with 3-2 records, but Illinois State is favored by 9.5 points. The Redbirds have shown strong offensive production, averaging 73.3-77.2 points per game, while Coastal Carolina has played at a slightly faster pace and excels in rebounding. The total is set at 142.5 points, reflecting expectations for a competitive, high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Illinois State averages 73.3-77.2 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 29-31.3% from three. They allow 76 points per game and have struggled defensively, giving up at least 80 points in two of their last three games. Coastal Carolina averages 74+ points per game, shooting 44.8% from the field, and excels in rebounding (50.5 per game). They allow only 64.8 points per game and force 10.5 turnovers per game. The Chanticleers are also strong at the free-throw line, making over 73% on the road.
- No recent head-to-head history is available for these teams in the provided sources.
- No injury reports are mentioned in the available sources.
- The game is played at CEFCU Arena, Illinois State's home court. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Illinois State having won two straight and Coastal Carolina having won three of their last four. The pace of play is moderate, with both teams averaging around 72-73 possessions per game.
- Illinois State is motivated to extend their winning streak and prove themselves after losses to USC and Ohio. Coastal Carolina is looking to build momentum after a strong win over Western Illinois and wants to show they can compete with higher-profile teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois State -550, Coastal Carolina +400 | Illinois State Moneyline | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Illinois State -9.5 -110, Coastal Carolina +9.5 -110 | Coastal Carolina +9.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 142.5 -115, Under 142.5 -105 | Under 142.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois St Redbirds 323% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 142.5 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Illinois St Redbirds at 323% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 80.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coastal Carolina is likely to cover the 9.5-point spread due to their strong rebounding, defensive efficiency, and recent form. The game is expected to be close, with both teams capable of scoring, but Illinois State's defensive vulnerabilities and Coastal Carolina's ability to control the boards and limit turnovers give the Chanticleers an edge in covering the spread. The total is likely to go under, as both teams have played at a moderate pace and Coastal Carolina's defense has been effective at limiting points.
Predicted Score: Illinois State 70, Coastal Carolina 72
