Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Texas Tech Red Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois
Game Overview
A top-15 NCAA basketball clash between No. 14 Illinois Fighting Illini and No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders, both 2-0 to start the season, featuring potent offenses and solid defenses, with Illinois favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Illinois has started strong with scoring outputs above 110 points in both games and a 2-0 home record, while Texas Tech has also won both games by solid margins but with slightly lower scoring totals.
- Recent trends show Illinois slightly favored to cover at similar spreads; both teams are competitive with close previous matchups and each has beaten quality opponents decisively.
- No significant injury reports affecting key starters or rotation players for either team, indicating both squads will be at full strength.
- Illinois benefits from home court advantage at State Farm Center, known for a lively and supportive crowd; neutral conditions otherwise.
- Both teams are undefeated early in the season, with strong motivation to continue momentum and secure a statement win to improve national rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois Fighting Illini: -180, Texas Tech Red Raiders: +150 | Illinois Fighting Illini | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Illinois Fighting Illini -3.5: -112, Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5: -108 | Illinois Fighting Illini -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 165.5: -108, Under 165.5: -112 | Over 165.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois Fighting Illini -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 165.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Illinois to win straight up and cover the -3.5 spread, game total to go Over 165.5 points.
Predicted Score: Illinois Fighting Illini 89 – Texas Tech Red Raiders 78