Match Analysis: Illinois Fighting Illini vs Colgate Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
Game Overview
The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-0) host the Colgate Raiders (1-2) with Illinois heavily favored to win by a large margin given their strong early season form, home advantage, and statistical superiority.
Key Factors to Consider
- Illinois is undefeated with a strong defensive and offensive efficiency, committing fewer turnovers and fouls while maintaining higher shooting percentages and rebounds. Colgate is 1-2 with moderate shooting stats but a weaker overall team efficiency and inferior defensive numbers.
- No recent direct matchups noted, but Illinois is nationally ranked (No. 14) and significantly stronger on paper and form.
- No major injury concerns reported for either team, full squads expected.
- Illinois enjoys home court advantage at State Farm Center, amplifying their performance metrics. The large spread (-28.5) reflects consensus expectations of a dominant Illinois win.
- Illinois is motivated to maintain a perfect record and continue their home winning streak. Colgate, with fewer wins, may play to keep the game competitive but likely lacks the depth to challenge strongly.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Illinois -2000, Colgate +1000 | Illinois | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | Illinois -28.5 -118, Colgate +28.5 -104 | Illinois -28.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5 -115, Under 163.5 -105 | Under 163.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Illinois to win comfortably, covering the -28.5 spread and the game total to finish under 163.5 points.
Predicted Score: Illinois 97, Colgate 63