Match Analysis: Howard Bison vs Alcorn St Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Burr Gymnasium, Washington, DC
Game Overview
Howard Bison (1-2) hosts Alcorn State Braves (0-4) in a SWAC conference non-conference matchup. Howard is favored due to stronger offensive metrics, home court advantage, and Alcorn State’s significant struggles on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Howard averages 80.0 PPG on 48.5% shooting, with good three-point accuracy (46%) and solid free throw shooting (74.2%). Alcorn State is struggling offensively, averaging 65.3 PPG with 42.6% FG and weaker free throw percentages around 60-64%. Howard also plays with more assists (18.3 APG vs. 10) and forces more turnovers (18 vs. 14).
- Alcorn State has lost their last 36 road games against non-conference opponents and frequently struggles in the first half, losing it in 16 of 17 recent night games on the road. Howard has lost their last 6 games against non-conference opponents, but this game shapes up as a bounce-back opportunity at home.
- No notable injuries reported for either team, both expected to have full lineups.
- Howard’s home gym (Burr Gymnasium) provides a strong crowd advantage and comfort. Alcorn State faces challenges travelling and historically poor performance away from home.
- Howard seeks to recover from recent losses, with key players like Bryce Harris and Alex Cotton leading the charge. Alcorn State is still winless and desperately needs a turnaround but shows lower confidence levels.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Howard Bison -300, Alcorn St Braves +240 | Howard Bison | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Howard Bison -7.5 -105, Alcorn St Braves +7.5 -115 | Howard Bison -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 155.5 -115, Under 155.5 -105 | Under 155.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Howard Bison -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 155.5 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 155.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Howard Bison to win straight up, cover the 7.5 point spread, and the game to finish under 155.5 total points
Predicted Score: Howard Bison 81 – Alcorn St Braves 70