Match Analysis: Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Center, Houston
Game Overview
The Houston Rockets enter this matchup as strong favorites against the struggling Washington Wizards. Rockets boast a solid 6-3 record and strong home performance while the Wizards have a poor 1-10 record and are enduring a four-game road losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rockets have been consistent, scoring 122.8 points per game with a positive point differential of +9.7. The Wizards average 113.5 points but allow 129.2 points per game, indicative of weak defense and poor form.
- Recent encounters favor the Rockets heavily given their superior form and win percentages. The Wizards have struggled against Rockets especially given the 16.5-point spread favoring the Rockets.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would materially impact this matchup.
- Home court advantage for the Rockets at the Toyota Center boosts their confidence and energy levels. The game timing and broadcast on SCHN provide a high-profile setting.
- The Rockets look to extend their strong start and maintain momentum. The Wizards are desperate to halt a slide and avoid further losses, but their recent poor form undermines morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | houston_rockets: -1400, washington_wizards: +830 | Houston Rockets | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | houston_rockets: -110, washington_wizards: -110 | Houston Rockets -16.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over: -114, under: -106 | Over 233.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Houston Rockets -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Houston Rockets win; Spread: Rockets -16.5 cover; Over/Under: Over 233.5 points
Predicted Score: Rockets 131 – Wizards 108