Match Analysis: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs East Texas A&M Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-10
- Time: 6:00 AM UTC
- Location: Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu
Game Overview
The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host the East Texas A&M Lions in a non-conference matchup at Stan Sheriff Center. Hawai'i is coming off a narrow loss to Oregon, while East Texas A&M has split its first two games, including a loss at New Mexico. The matchup features a significant spread, with Hawai'i heavily favored at home, and the over/under set at 146.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawai'i went 13-7 at home last season, allowing 71.2 points per game and shooting 43.6% from the field. They opened 2025-26 with a 59-60 loss at Oregon, showing solid defensive effort but struggling offensively. East Texas A&M went 5-26 overall last year, with a 1-16 road record. They average 15.5 points off turnovers and 10.1 second-chance points, but have struggled defensively, allowing 76 points in their loss at New Mexico. Their offense is inconsistent, averaging just 65.5 points per game in their two outings.
- The teams last met in December 2022, with East Texas A&M winning 53-51. This is only the second meeting in program history, and the first since the Lions' recent win. Hawai'i is expected to be much stronger at home this time, especially given their recent home record.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to have full rosters available for this contest.
- Hawai'i benefits from home-court advantage at Stan Sheriff Center, a venue known for its strong crowd support. East Texas A&M is on a long road trip, having played at New Mexico just days prior, which could impact their energy and focus. The game is part of Hawai'i's early season schedule, with the Rainbow Classic tournament following shortly after.
- Hawai'i is motivated to bounce back from a close loss to Oregon and start their home schedule with a win. East Texas A&M is looking to build momentum after a split start and prove they can compete with higher-level programs, but their road struggles and lack of depth may limit their chances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hawai'i -115, East Texas A&M +190 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Hawai'i -19.5 (-115), East Texas A&M +19.5 (-105) | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -19.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 (-110), Under 146.5 (-110) | Over 146.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 43% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawai'i is expected to dominate at home, leveraging their superior talent, depth, and home-court advantage. East Texas A&M's offensive limitations and poor road record suggest they will struggle to keep pace. The game is likely to be a comfortable win for Hawai'i, with the score potentially exceeding the over/under due to Hawai'i's offensive rebounding and East Texas A&M's defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Hawai'i 82, East Texas A&M 64