Match Analysis: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona St Sun Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 5:00 AM UTC
- Location: Stan Sheriff Center, Honolulu, HI
Game Overview
The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors host the Arizona State Sun Devils in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Hawai'i enters the game with a 4-1 record and a perfect 4-0 mark at home, while Arizona State is 3-1 and facing its first true road test. Both teams have shown strong offensive and defensive capabilities, but Hawai'i's home-court advantage and recent form give them a slight edge in the betting markets.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawai'i is averaging 80.2 points per game and has won four straight at home, including a recent victory over Utah Tech. Arizona State is averaging 75.5 points per game and has won three of its first four games, but has struggled in night games on the road, losing 10 of its last 12. Hawai'i has a +18.6 point differential this season, while Arizona State has been tested more by tougher competition.
- There is no recent head-to-head data available for this matchup, but Arizona State has won five of its last six games against Big West Conference opponents, including the first half in those games.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Hawai'i is playing its fifth consecutive home game, which has historically been a major advantage for the Warriors. Arizona State is traveling across time zones, which could impact performance, especially in a night game. The crowd support for Hawai'i is expected to be strong.
- Hawai'i is motivated to protect its home court and extend its winning streak. Arizona State is looking to prove itself in a tough road environment and build momentum for the rest of the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona St Sun Devils: 126, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: -152 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Not available |
| Spread | Arizona St Sun Devils: 2.5 -110, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: -2.5 -110 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -2.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -110, Under: 147.5 -110 | Over 147.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hawai'i is favored to win this game due to its strong home record, recent form, and the difficulty Arizona State has had in night games on the road. However, Arizona State has shown resilience and could keep the game close, especially if it can control the tempo and limit Hawai'i's scoring.
Predicted Score: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 78, Arizona St Sun Devils 72