Match Analysis: Harvard Crimson vs Northeastern Huskies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 12, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Lavietes Pavilion, Cambridge, MA
Game Overview
Harvard Crimson (2-0) host Northeastern Huskies (1-1) in an Ivy League matchup between Boston-area rivals. Harvard enters as heavy favorites with a balanced offensive/defensive profile, while Northeastern shows inconsistency but has demonstrated competitiveness in close contests.
Key Factors to Consider
- Harvard: 2-0 record, averaging 82.5 PPG while holding opponents to 62.5 PPG (20-point differential), shooting over 50% FG. Northeastern: 1-1 record with tight margins (OT loss, narrow road win vs Colgate 68-65), averaging 71.5 PPG on 41.2% FG. LA Pratt (Northeastern) leading scorer at 19.5 PPG on 46.7% shooting. Harvard demonstrates superior offensive efficiency and defensive discipline.
- Northeastern won previous H2H matchup 78-56. Series tied 3-3 over last 6 meetings. Historical advantage slightly favors Northeastern, but current form heavily favors Harvard.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Home court advantage for Harvard at Lavietes Pavilion. Early season dynamics where teams are still establishing identity. Boston rivalry adds intensity but limited impact on quantifiable performance.
- Harvard seeking to maintain undefeated start and establish Ivy League dominance. Northeastern seeking statement win against stronger conference opponent to improve 1-1 record and build momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Harvard -198 | Northeastern +164 | Harvard Crimson ML | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Harvard -4.5 -115 | Northeastern +4.5 -105 | Harvard -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 143.5 -110 | Under 143.5 -110 | Under 143.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Harvard Crimson -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Harvard Crimson should win this matchup convincingly. Their defensive prowess (62.5 PPG allowed) will significantly limit Northeastern's inconsistent offense (71.5 PPG, 41.2% FG). Harvard's +20 point differential vs Northeastern's near-zero differential reveals a substantial talent/execution gap.
Predicted Score: Harvard 76, Northeastern 68