Match Analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-23
- Time: 6:05 PM UTC
- Location: Drive In Arena, Tel Aviv
Game Overview
First-ever Euroleague meeting between Hapoel Tel Aviv and AS Monaco. Hapoel returns to Euroleague after a long absence, while Monaco is an established contender with recent deep playoff runs. Neither side has a prior head-to-head record in European competition, making this a matchup of unknowns at this level.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco (3-2 this season) is in decent early-season form and has more Euroleague continuity. Hapoel Tel Aviv (2-3) is adjusting to the competition after promotion, but is competitive in domestic games and recent friendlies. Both are scoring close to 85 points per game, but Monaco has a slightly tighter defense.
- No previous encounters between these teams in Euroleague or major European competitions[3]. All H2H data refers to other Tel Aviv clubs (e.g., Maccabi), not Hapoel.
- No major injuries reported for either side as of pre-match updates (assumed all key players available unless late news).
- Home court in Tel Aviv could provide a slight edge for Hapoel, but Monaco's Euroleague experience may offset this advantage. No major travel or environmental disruptions expected.
- Hapoel is highly motivated to prove itself in Euroleague return; Monaco, as a playoff regular, wants to secure road wins early to bolster postseason seeding.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco +118, Hapoel Tel Aviv -144 | AS Monaco | β β β ββ 56% |
Spread | AS Monaco +2.5 -110, Hapoel Tel Aviv -2.5 -110 | AS Monaco +2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 174.5 -110, Under 174.5 -110 | Over 174.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 174.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Monaco at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco's Euroleague experience and slightly stronger defense give them a narrow edge in a potentially close, high-scoring game. Hapoel's home energy could make it tight, but Monaco's composure in crunch time is likely the difference.
Predicted Score: AS Monaco 86 β Hapoel Tel Aviv 83